Data pix.
Monday, December 16th, 2019
A wet start to your Monday, with more rain on the way today.  Highs near 50 and winds from the north.  The greatest risk for severe weather today will be to the south of the Memphis Metro.  Showers or thundershowers should be expected with high winds being our primary severe threat today.  We will improve quickly this evening with clearing skies and falling temperatures.  Overnight lows will drop to near freezing, sunshine and lower 40s for your Tuesday.  After todays storms… much of the week ahead offers dry and cool conditions.  Highs climb into the lower 50s by the end of the week.  Another slight chance for showers by Friday but overall a mostly quiet and calm weather pattern.  As we look forward to next week, temperatures will be climbing across the board.  Highs will be warming to near 60 for the week of Christmas with only a slight chance for rain thru Christmas day.  Sorry, no white Christmas this year!

Via @NWSMemphis: A few severe storms are possible late Sunday night into Monday mainly along and south of Interstate 40. The best chance for severe weather will be across North Mississippi Monday afternoon.


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The NWS Cooperative Observer Program is truly the national weather observing network of, by, and for the people. More than 8,700 volunteers take observations where they live, work, and play. The NWS depends on these volunteer observers, committed to taking observations at the same location for 10 or more years, to report daily weather and climate information using the phone or internet. NWS provides the training, equipment, and maintenance — you provide daily data! Your observations support warnings, forecasts, and help build a long-term weather history for an area. This program has existed since 1890 and is one of the few programs that measures snowfall and its water equivalent.

WEATHER.GOV/COOP 


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2019-2020 NOAA WINTER OUTLOOK ISSUED

https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/winter-outlook-warmer-than-average-for-many-wetter-in-north

Warmer-than-average temperatures are forecast for much of the U.S. this winter according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. Although below-average temperatures are not favored, cold weather is anticipated and some areas could still experience a colder-than-average winter. Wetter-than-average weather is most likely across the Northern Tier of the U.S. during winter, which extends from December through February.

While the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate pattern often influences the winter, neutral conditions are in place this year and expected to persist into the spring. In the absence of El Nino or La Nina, long-term trends become a key predictor for the outlook, while other climate patterns, such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Arctic Oscillation (AO), will likely play a larger role in determining winter weather. For example, the AO influences the number of arctic air masses that intrude into the U.S., but its predictability is limited to a couple weeks.


2019 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON SUMMARY via NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/

The National Hurricane Center’s Tropical Cyclone Reports contain comprehensive information on each tropical cyclone, including synoptic history, meteorological statistics, casualties and damages, and the post-analysis best track (six-hourly positions and intensities). Tropical cyclones include depressions, storms and hurricanes. Tropical depressions listed below are those that did not reach tropical storm strength.


 

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